English, Article, Journal or magazine article edition: Demographic Change and the Murder Rate: The Case of the United States, 1934 to 2006 Nunley, John; Seals, Alan; Zietz, Joachim

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Bookmark: http://trove.nla.gov.au/version/105082
Physical Description
  • preprint
Language
  • English

Edition details

Title
  • Demographic Change and the Murder Rate: The Case of the United States, 1934 to 2006
Author
  • Nunley, John
  • Seals, Alan
  • Zietz, Joachim
Physical Description
  • preprint
Notes
  • Fluctuations in aggregate crime rates contrary to recent shifts in the age distribution of the U.S. population have cast doubt on the predictive power of the age-crime hypothesis. Examining a longer time horizon with rigorous econometric techniques, we show that the percentage of the young population is a robust predictor of the murder rate. Increases in the immigration rate and prevalence of crack cocaine also contribute to changes in the murder rate. However, these variables capture a miniscule portion of its trend, while changes in the young population explain a substantial portion of the trend since the 1930s.
  • murder rate; demographic change; age composition; crime
  • RePEc:pra:mprapa:16315
Language
  • English
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