STATISTICAL ESTIMATION OF OPTIMAL PORTFOLIOS FOR LOCALLY STATIONARY RETURNS OF ASSETS
This paper discusses the asymptotic property of estimators for optimal portfolios when the returns are vector-valued locally stationary processes. First, we derive the asymptotic distribution of a nonparametric portfolio estimator based on the kernel method. Optimal bandwidth and kernel function are given by minimizing the mean squares error of it. Next, assuming parametric models for non-Gaussian locally stationary processes, we prove the LAN theorem, and propose a parametric portfolio estimator Ä based on a quasi-maximum likelihood estimator. Then it is shown that Ä is asymptotically efficient based on the LAN. Numerical studies are provided to investigate the accuracy of the portfolio estimators parametrically and nonparametrically. They illuminate some interesting features of them.
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