Reexamining the Term Structure of Interest Rates and the Interwar Demand for Money
Christopher F. Baum
Clifford F. Thies
This paper reexamines whether the term structure of interest rates, rather than merely a single interest rate, should be included in the demand for money of the interwar era. In contrast to earlier work, we use cointegration techniques to model the equilibrium/error correction process, and find that a sufficiently rich dynamic model using a single interest rate has considerable explanatory power. Nevertheless, we conclude that the inclusion of the term structure may help to explain the turbulent monetary dynamics of the Depression era.
demand for money, interwar period, term structure of interest rates
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