2009, English, Article, Report edition: Are state elections affected by the national economy? Evidence from Australia Andrew Leigh; Mark McLeish

User activity

Share to:
 
Bookmark: http://trove.nla.gov.au/version/193069987
Physical Description
  • Report
Published
  • Centre for Economic Policy Research, 2009-01-16 00:00:00
Language
  • English

Edition details

Title
  • Are state elections affected by the national economy? Evidence from Australia
Author
  • Andrew Leigh
  • Mark McLeish
Published
  • Centre for Economic Policy Research, 2009-01-16 00:00:00
Physical Description
  • Report
Subjects
Date or Place
  • Australia
Summary
  • Using data from 191 Australian state elections, the authors test how voters respond to economic conditions. They find that unemployment has a strong impact on election outcomes, with each additional percentage point of unemployment reducing the incumbent's re-election probability by 3-5 per cent. However, when luck (unemployment in other states) is separated from competence (unemployment in that state relative to the rest of Australia), the authors find that both luck and competence are equally important. This is consistent with a psychological theory of the ‘fundamental attribution error’, in which observers consistently underestimate the importance of situational constraints. The authors also find evidence that unemployment driven by a clearly exogenous source – the United States economy – has a non-trivial impact on the re-election probability of Australian state governments. The results suggest that Australian voters either retain too many state governments in economic booms, vote out too many state governments in recessions, or perhaps both.
Language
  • English
Identifier
  • oai:apo.org.au:2367

Get this edition

  • Set up My libraries

    How do I set up "My libraries"?

    In order to set up a list of libraries that you have access to, you must first login or sign up. Then set up a personal list of libraries from your profile page by clicking on your user name at the top right of any screen.

  • All (1)
  • VIC (1)
None of your libraries hold this item.

This single location in All:

Library Access Call number(s) Formats held Language
Australian Policy Online. Open to the public Article; Report English
Show 0 more libraries...
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.

This single location in Victoria:

Library Access Call number(s) Formats held Language
Australian Policy Online. Open to the public Article; Report English
Show 0 more libraries...
None of your libraries hold this item.

User activity


e.g. test cricket, Perth (WA), "Parkes, Henry"

Separate different tags with a comma. To include a comma in your tag, surround the tag with double quotes.

Be the first to add a tag for this edition

Be the first to add this to a list

Comments and reviews

What are comments? Add a comment

No user comments or reviews for this version

Add a comment