This article forecasts the demand for labour by qualification levels up to the year 2000. The projections are based on the development of employment by economic sectors in the sixties and seventies. A juxtaposition of the demand and the supply projections (under the assumption that changes in the educational system over the next few years will only marginally affect the qualification of the labour force) shows that no serious imbalances will occur in the major segments of the educational system. A surplus is likely at each qualification level. Adjusting the qualification structure of the labour force to the technological and organizational opportunities opening up over the next decade will be a great challenge which can be met through further education of the work force, whether employed or unemployed, on the job and outside the enterprises.
Beschäftigung und Bildung im Wandel; Employment and Education in the Next Decade
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