This paper presents an Australian Higher Education Model (AHEM) which is a development of the VPSEC model used to measure Victorian needs, published in the Commission's 1992 paper Strategic Planning Issues for Higher Education in Victoria. Essentially, the AHEM model develops the preferred option from that paper by applying it to each Australian state to produce a national higher education model. A comparison of the outcomes of this model with other forecasts is provided. The model incorporates assumptions about youth access which are similar to those used by Finn and it adds assumptions about access for migrants, those over 30 and postgraduates. This analysis suggests that the Finn Committee estimated the growth required to provide youth access correctly but used an inadequate forecast for other higher education needs. AHEM is an integrated model which can be used to explore the overall impact of seeking to alter priorities for access. The Model provides a strategic framework which identifies and accommodates major state differences, suggests clear priorities and targets for access across the higher education profile and explores the implications of the Finn forecast of total higher education growth.