English, Article, Journal or magazine article edition: Prospect Theory and Inflation Perceptions - An Empirical Assessment Lena Vogel; Jan-Oliver Menz; Ulrich Fritsche

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Physical Description
  • preprint
Language
  • English

Edition details

Title
  • Prospect Theory and Inflation Perceptions - An Empirical Assessment
Author
  • Lena Vogel
  • Jan-Oliver Menz
  • Ulrich Fritsche
Physical Description
  • preprint
Notes
  • Building on the hypotheses of loss aversion with respect to price increases and availability of frequently bought goods, Brachinger (2006,2008) constructs an alternative index of perceived inflation (IPI), which can reproduce the jump in the measure for perceived inflation after the Euro introduction in Germany that was not observable in standard HICP inflation. We test the hypotheses of Prospect Theory with regard to households’ inflation perceptions underlying Brachinger’s IPI in a panel estimation for 12 European countries. There is evidence that perceptions react more strongly to ‘losses’ in inflation than to ‘gains’ before the Euro cash changeover, but not afterwards. Moreover, we find empirical support for the availability hypothesis, stating that frequently bought goods have a stronger influence on inflation perceptions than the overall price index.
  • Inflation Perceptions, Prospect Theory, Dynamic Panel
  • RePEc:hep:macppr:200903
Language
  • English
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