Impacto de Reformas Paramétricas na Previdência Social Brasileira: Simulações Alternativas
Luís Eduardo Afonso
André Portela Souza
This paper simulates the effects of parametric reforms in the pension system, and the main results are: a) the present value of the implicit debt is equivalent to 1,9 GDPs of the year 2005; b) interruption of real increases in the value of minimum pension benefit from 2011 on would reduce the implicit debt; c) parametric measures could reduce the actuarial debt to about 40% to 60% of its present levels; d) measures of greater impact would be the establishment of a minimum required age of 65 for the new workers, as well as the gradual increase for 64 years, for the current workers; e) increasing the required age for Loas and reducing the value of it to 75% of the basic benefit for future concessions would have important fiscal impacts.
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