English, Article edition: WHY THE COMPOSITE INDEX OF LEADING INDICATORS DOES NOT LEAD EVAN F. KOENIG; KENNETH M. EMERY

User activity

Share to:
 
Bookmark: http://trove.nla.gov.au/version/185701
Physical Description
  • article
Language
  • English

Edition details

Title
  • WHY THE COMPOSITE INDEX OF LEADING INDICATORS DOES NOT LEAD
Author
  • EVAN F. KOENIG
  • KENNETH M. EMERY
Physical Description
  • article
Notes
  • "This paper assesses the real-time performance of the Commerce Department's composite index of leading indicators. The authors find that the composite leading index has failed to provide reliable advance warning of cyclical turning points. One reason for this failure is that the leading index's transition from expansion to contraction generally is not very sharp. Consequently, discerning real-time cyclical peaks in the index is difficult. Transitions from contraction to expansion on average are sharp. However, cyclical troughs in the leading index often precede cyclical troughs in the economy by only a few months. Thus, even timely recognition of troughs in the leading index fails to provide advance warning of turnarounds in the general level of economic activity". Copyright 1994 Western Economic Association International.
  • RePEc:bla:coecpo:v:12:y:1994:i:1:p:52-66
Language
  • English
Contributed by
OAIster

Get this edition

Other links

  • Set up My libraries

    How do I set up "My libraries"?

    In order to set up a list of libraries that you have access to, you must first login or sign up. Then set up a personal list of libraries from your profile page by clicking on your user name at the top right of any screen.

  • All (1)
  • Unknown (1)
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.

User activity


e.g. test cricket, Perth (WA), "Parkes, Henry"

Separate different tags with a comma. To include a comma in your tag, surround the tag with double quotes.

Be the first to add a tag for this edition

Be the first to add this to a list

Comments and reviews

What are comments? Add a comment

No user comments or reviews for this version

Add a comment