English, Article, Journal or magazine article edition: Estimating DGSE models with long memory dynamics Gianluca, MORETTI; Giulio, NICOLETTI

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Bookmark: http://trove.nla.gov.au/version/177943
Physical Description
  • preprint
Language
  • English

Edition details

Title
  • Estimating DGSE models with long memory dynamics
Author
  • Gianluca, MORETTI
  • Giulio, NICOLETTI
Physical Description
  • preprint
Notes
  • Recent literature clams that key variables such as aggregate productivity and inflation display long memory dynamics. We study the impllications of this high degree of persistence on the estimation of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DGSE) models. We show that long memory data produce substantial bias in the deep parameter estimates when a standard Kalman Filter-MLE procedure is used. We propose a modification of the Kalman Filter procedure, we mainly augment the state space, which deals with this problem. By the means of the augmented state space we can consistently estimate the model parameters as well as produce more accurate out-of-sample forecasts compared to the standard Kalman filter.
  • RePEc:ctl:louvec:2008037
Language
  • English
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