2008, English, Article, Working paper edition: How will climate change shift agro-ecological zones and impact African agriculture ? [electronic resource] / Pradeep Kurukulasuriya, Robert Mendelsohn. Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep.

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Bookmark: http://trove.nla.gov.au/version/38667538
Physical Description
  • electronic text.
  • 1 online resource.
Published
  • [Washington, D.C. : World Bank, 2008]
Language
  • English

Edition details

Title
  • How will climate change shift agro-ecological zones and impact African agriculture ? /​ Pradeep Kurukulasuriya, Robert Mendelsohn.
Also Titled
  • World Bank e-Library Research Working Papers.
Author
  • Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep.
Other Authors
  • Mendelsohn, Robert.
  • World Bank
Published
  • [Washington, D.C. : World Bank, 2008]
Medium
  • [electronic resource]
Content Types
  • text
Carrier Types
  • online resource
Physical Description
  • electronic text.
  • 1 online resource.
Series
Subjects
Summary
  • "The study develops a new method to measure the impacts of climate change on agriculture called the Agro-Ecological Zone (AEZ) Model. A multinomial logit is estimated to predict the probability of each AEZ in each district. The average percentage of cropland and average crop net revenue are calculated for each AEZ. Then an estimate of the amount of cropland in Africa and where it is located is provided. Using current conditions, the model calculates baseline values of cropland and crop net revenue, and estimates the future impact of climate change using two scenarios-harsh and mild. Total cropland does not change much across the two climate scenarios. However, the predicted change in African crop revenue ranges from a loss of 14 percent in the mild climate scenario to 30 percent in the harsher climate scenario. The analysis reveals that the greatest harm from climate change is that it will shift farms from high to low productive AEZs. The approach not only identifies the aggregate impacts, but also indicates where the impacts occur across Africa. The central region of Africa is hurt the most, especially in the harsher climate scenario. The Agro-Ecological Zone Model is a promising new method for valuing the long-term impacts of climate change on agriculture. "--World Bank web site.
Notes
  • Title from PDF file as viewed on 5/​18/​2009.
  • Includes bibliographical references.
  • Also available in print.
Access Conditions
  • Access restricted to current staff and students.
Technical Details
  • System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
  • Mode of access: World Wide Web.
Language
  • English
Libraries Australia ID
Contributed by
Libraries Australia

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Saint Ignatius' College, Riverview. Christopher Brennan Library. Not open to the public Article; Working paper English
Somerset College. Somerset College Library. May not be open to the public Article; Working paper English
State Library of Western Australia. Open to the public .b31210193; held Article; Working paper English
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