The Outlook for World Demographic Change and Growth to the Year 2030
The rise of working populations will slow down in all regions of the world over the next thirty years. Nevertheless, global economic growth (at 3%) is likely to be similar to that experienced during the last thirty years, thanks to a faster rise in productivity and the increasing importance of the more dynamic emerging countries. The shift of the world's economic centre of gravity to developing Asia will continue. On the other hand, there is likely to be little catch-up of the world's poorest regions, especially sub-Saharan Africa. A far greater investment effort will be required, if these regions are to benefit from the opportunities offered by the demographic situation over the next decades.
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