English, Article, Journal or magazine article edition: Forecasting Employment Rates: A Cohort Approach Marie-France Paquet; Timothy C. Sargent; Steven James

User activity

Share to:
 
Bookmark: http://trove.nla.gov.au/version/145656
Physical Description
  • preprint
Language
  • English

Edition details

Title
  • Forecasting Employment Rates: A Cohort Approach
Author
  • Marie-France Paquet
  • Timothy C. Sargent
  • Steven James
Physical Description
  • preprint
Notes
  • This paper examines the past and future behaviour of the employment rate in Canada using an econometric model that is estimated using administrative data on specific age-sex cohorts. The cohort approach allows us to model explicitly the extent to which people of a given age participate more or less in the labour force than those born in a previous year. We use our model to forecast employment rates over the long run. Our results suggest that the next few years will be a period of recovery in the employment rates of most categories of workers. Starting around 2005, however, the behaviour of the employment rate for men and women will diverge. The employment rate will continue to rise for female age groups but will either stay constant or slowly decline for men. Dans ce travail, nous analysons le comportement passé et futur du taux d'emploi au Canada à l'aide d'un modèle économétrique estimé à partir de données administratives. L'unité d'analyse est la cohorte définie par l'âge et le sexe. L'approche à cohortes nous permet de modéliser explicitement dans quelle mesure une personne d'un âge donné participe plus ou moins au marché du travail que celle née à une date antérieure. Nos résultats montrent que la fin des années 1990 et le début de la prochaine décennie sera une période de reprise sur le marché du travail pour plusieurs catégories de travailleurs. À partir de 2005, le comportement des taux d'emploi des hommes et des femmes divergera. Le taux d'emploi continuera d'augmenter pour les différents groupes d'âge de femmes, alors qu'il demeurera constant ou déclinera pour les hommes.
  • RePEc:fca:wpfnca:2000-06
Language
  • English
Contributed by
OAIster

Get this edition

Other links

  • Set up My libraries

    How do I set up "My libraries"?

    In order to set up a list of libraries that you have access to, you must first login or sign up. Then set up a personal list of libraries from your profile page by clicking on your user name at the top right of any screen.

  • All (1)
  • Unknown (1)
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.
None of your libraries hold this item.

User activity


e.g. test cricket, Perth (WA), "Parkes, Henry"

Separate different tags with a comma. To include a comma in your tag, surround the tag with double quotes.

Be the first to add a tag for this edition

Be the first to add this to a list

Comments and reviews

What are comments? Add a comment

No user comments or reviews for this version

Add a comment