DURAÇÃO DO DESEMPREGO NA REGIÃO METROPOLITANA DE SALVADOR: MENSURAÇÃO E ANÁLISE
Wilson F. Menezes
This article analyse the average complete duration of unemployment of the Metropolitan Areas of Salvador (RMS) using Employment and Unemployment Research (PED) data. For in such a way, a new methodology is used, that allows from cross section data, to estimate this duration based on unemployment continuation probability. This methodology comes being presented in the works of Baker (1992), Corak, Heisz (1995) and Sider (1985). The main focus of the paper is to analyze the distinction between the average complete duration (stationary and non stationary) and the average incomplete duration of unemployment, such as presented in the official statistics. The heterogeneity existence between durations and the determinants of unemployment is still argued. The results evidence that the non stationary measures are a more accurate indicators of prevailing labor market conditions. The heterogeneity existence in unemployment durations by social groups in RMS is also evidenced. Finally, it is observed that increases in the unemployment are reflected basically in the increase in durations.
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